Prompt blog #4 Trust it or not?

Two sources I want to share and analysis is a video record about Donald Trump’s speech and a Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

To introduce the information shortly, in the summary, it shows that the unemployment rate is about five percent in the average level for United State. However in the video, Trump claim that those numbers are unbelievable and the real date should up to 20 to 40 percent. Which one should we believe? Compare the style for this two sources, I think we should believe the conclusion from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

From the tone which they use to represent the information. Trump are more informal than the Bureau of the Labor Statistics. “Don’t believe these phony numbers when you hear 4.9 and 5 percent unemployment.” said Trump in his New Hampshire victory speech. Why these number is phony? How do you prove it? True cannot be told, it should be told! Can I just told you that more and more teenagers drop out of school without any prove, like research number? Of course not.

Also, the number that Trump supply also make no sense. “The number’s probably 28, 29, as high as 35. In fact, I even heard recently 42 percent.” said Trump in his New Hampshire victory speech. What is the meaning for “I even heard recently”? Where are these numbers coming from? The campaign did not respond to requests for comment, and it is not clear what sources Trump is referencing.

Compare with number that showed from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is a unit of the United States Department of Labor. With the help from the government, they collect date with more patient and the date they collected are more accurately. Just like the picture which I show below.

When asked to comment on Trump’s claims that the bureau’s statistics are false or mistaken, an economist from the Department of Labor laughed. “Politicians can say what they want,” he said, “We have been doing this [measuring the unemployment rate] for a long time. Many other countries have learned from our methodology,” he continued. “We have top economists who studied at places like MIT and Harvard who look at these numbers. I don’t know what [Mr. Trump’s] qualifications are.”

So when we compare two common, we should both consider what and how they made the conclusion. If they use data to prove their idea, how they get date? Do they have benefit to make that conclusion? And always think two and hold skeptical mind before we choose to believe.

Click here for more information:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WI2UztDjQhQ